My 2009 Fearless Oscar Forecast

I've barely watched any movies in 2008, so I've seen almost none of the films nominated for whatever Oscar category (all the nominations here). But baselessly I predict anyway:

Best Picture: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Director: Danny Boyle

Best Orig. Screenplay: WALL*E (Andrew Stanton & Jim Reardon)

Best Adapted Screenplay: Frost/Nixon (Peter Morgan)

Best Actor: Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon (would have been Mickey Rourke, until he defended Dubya)

Best Actress: Kate Winslet, The Reader (award refused in favor of Ricky Gervais)

Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight.

Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Doubt

Best Animated Film: WALL*E

Art Direction: Burt & Solfo, Benjamin Button

Cinematography: Slumdog Millionaire

Costume Design: Michael O'Connor, The Duchess

Feature Documentary: Man on Wire

Documentary Short: Smile Pinki

Editing: Chris Dickens, Slumdog Millionaire

Foreign Language: The Class

Makeup: Elizalde & Floutz, Hellboy II

Original Score: A.J.A.R. Rahman, Slumdog Millionaire

Original Song: Peter Gabriel, "Down to Earth", WALL*E

Animated Short: Presto

Live Action Short: The Pig

Sound Editing: Richard King, The Dark Knight

Sound Mixing: Meyers, Semanick & Burtt, WALL*E

Visual Effects: Nelson, Snow, Sudick, & Mahan, Iron Man.

I'm confident in at least a 50% success rate, perhaps even 60%. I probably should watch these films first before predicting, but what the hell.

And I really really hope that they show Slumdog Millionaire in Manila before the Oscars. Because obeying the law sometimes really sucks.